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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

University District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051005702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,738 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 41051005702 in the University District area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,738 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 44% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,815
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$92,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In University District
Very Low
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#88 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5089, -122.6756 · click any tract to drill in

Why University District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,830 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How University District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 0057027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 651Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University District

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,830, 11% above the Portland average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051005702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005702?

Census tract 41051005702 in the University District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051005702?

Median gross rent is $1,830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005702?

14.9% of residents in tract 41051005702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,738.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 5th, minority 45th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 41051005702 considered part of University District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005702 fall within University District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051005702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051005702 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051005702 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051005702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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