Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally
New Fox Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg
Tract 42043020300 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 2,252 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The New Fox Ridge area of Harrisburg is where census tract 42043020300 sits, home to 2,252 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,014 a month while the average household earns $40,870 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate38.5%
Median income$40,870
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2700, -76.8862 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Fox Ridge scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.5% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,014 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How New Fox Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 31%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 69%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 431Total filings over 6 yrs
- 8.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2000)
- 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Fox Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Fox Ridge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 69% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043020300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043020300?
Census tract 42043020300 in the New Fox Ridge neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043020300?
Median gross rent is $1,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043020300?
38.5% of residents in tract 42043020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,252.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043020300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 42043020300 considered part of New Fox Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043020300 fall within New Fox Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043020300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.53% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043020300 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043020300 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043020300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 69% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Hoverter Homes
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Academy Manor
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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