Paschall Eviction Risk: Elevated , Darby

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $37,411, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 436 filings here across 7 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,186, 9% below the Darby average.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 14.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.