Baldwin Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049001100 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,909 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 42049001100 sits in the Baldwin Park area of Erie eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 2,909. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1039, -80.1151 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baldwin Park scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Baldwin Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 34%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 221Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2006)
- 46Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Baldwin Park
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
On the high side, economic stress reads 7.5/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 filings here across 7 tracked years.
47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Erie County average of 42.3%. The worst year on record was 2006, when 11.0% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 42049001100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001100?
What is the average rent in tract 42049001100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001100?
Is tract 42049001100 considered part of Baldwin Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001100?
How does tract 42049001100 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049001100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.