Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Baldwin Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Tract 42049001100 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,909 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 42049001100 sits in the Baldwin Park area of Erie eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 2,909. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,294
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$47,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Baldwin Park
Moderate
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 31 tracts In Erie
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 73 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#745 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1039, -80.1151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baldwin Park scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$859 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Baldwin Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baldwin Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0011004.4Erieparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.0%Peak (2006)
  • 46Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42049001100
Filings climbed 59% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baldwin Park

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.5/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 filings here across 7 tracked years.

47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Erie County average of 42.3%. The worst year on record was 2006, when 11.0% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049001100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001100?

Census tract 42049001100 in the Baldwin Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049001100?

Median gross rent is $859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001100?

29.9% of residents in tract 42049001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,909.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 100th, minority 54th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 42049001100 considered part of Baldwin Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001100 fall within Baldwin Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.72% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049001100 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049001100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related