Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Eastlawn Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049001600 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,084 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 42049001600 in the Eastlawn Hills area of Erie, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,084 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.9/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,864
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate35.6%
Median income$39,397
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1283, -80.0250 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastlawn Hills scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.6% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$852 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Eastlawn Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 191Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2003)
- 27Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastlawn Hills
The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.5 points above the Erie County average of 4.3. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 191 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2003 at 10.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001600?
Census tract 42049001600 in the Eastlawn Hills neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049001600?
Median gross rent is $852/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001600?
35.6% of residents in tract 42049001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,084.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 87th, minority 53th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 42049001600 considered part of Eastlawn Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001600 fall within Eastlawn Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 191 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049001600 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049001600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049001600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Saint Mary
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Baldwin Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Burton
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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