Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Grandview Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Tract 42049003000 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,255 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Grandview Heights area of Erie, census tract 42049003000 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $730 monthly, set against $54,120 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,817
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$54,120

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grandview Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 31 tracts In Erie
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#29 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#653 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.0862, -80.0995 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grandview Heights scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$730 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Grandview Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grandview Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 003000Erie: 4.84.8Erieparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 423Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2001)
  • 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490030002000: 77 filings (12.32/100 renter HHs)2001: 99 filings (15.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 65 filings (10.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 47 filings (7.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 28 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)2005: 56 filings (8.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 51 filings (7.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grandview Heights

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 423 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 9.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.8% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049003000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049003000?

Census tract 42049003000 in the Grandview Heights neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049003000?

Median gross rent is $730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049003000?

15.4% of residents in tract 42049003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,255.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 85th, minority 38th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 42049003000 considered part of Grandview Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049003000 fall within Grandview Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049003000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 423 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.58% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049003000 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049003000 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related