Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Elliott Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethlehem
Tract 42077009400 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,001 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42077009400 (Elliott Heights in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,100 a month against an average household income of $52,337 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,786
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate24.2%
Median income$52,337
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6188, -75.4058 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elliott Heights scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
24.2% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Elliott Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 257Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2006)
- 54Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 54% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elliott Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 257 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077009400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009400?
Census tract 42077009400 in the Elliott Heights neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077009400?
Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009400?
24.2% of residents in tract 42077009400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 76th, minority 61th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 42077009400 considered part of Elliott Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009400 fall within Elliott Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 257 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.04% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077009400 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42077009400 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42077009400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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