Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101008301 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,111 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
42101008301 is a census tract in the Cobbs Creek area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 8/10 for landlords. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate30.6%
Median income$35,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9578, -75.2467 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
30.6% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$723 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 34%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 238Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2012)
- 62Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 299Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
Average gross rent is $723, 48% below the Philadelphia average. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6.
Court records carry 238 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $35,174.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101008301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101008301?
Census tract 42101008301 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101008301?
Median gross rent is $723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101008301?
30.6% of residents in tract 42101008301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,111.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101008301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 93th, minority 96th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 42101008301 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101008301 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101008301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 238 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101008301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.49% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101008301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101008301 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101008301 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101008301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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