Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101008102 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,902 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 42101008102 in the Cobbs Creek area of Philadelphia, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,902. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,383
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$53,289
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9522, -75.2346 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,253 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 253Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2011)
- 62Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 266Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 253 evictions over 4 years of observation. Against Philadelphia County at 49.1%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,253, 10% below the Philadelphia average.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 11.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101008102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101008102?
Census tract 42101008102 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101008102?
Median gross rent is $1,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101008102?
15.3% of residents in tract 42101008102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,902.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101008102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 42101008102 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101008102 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101008102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 253 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101008102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101008102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101008102 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101008102 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101008102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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