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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

Tract 42101008200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 7,503 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 42101008200 sits in the Cobbs Creek area of Philadelphia eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 7,503 residents. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 4% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units3,128
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$35,518

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Cobbs Creek
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 39.9492, -75.2444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cobbs Creek scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Cobbs Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cobbs Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0082006.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 280Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak (2012)
  • 75Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42101008200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 239Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek

Against Philadelphia County at 49.1%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $35,518 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 280 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 11.1% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,282, 8% below the Philadelphia average.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101008200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101008200?

Census tract 42101008200 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101008200?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101008200?

27.1% of residents in tract 42101008200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,503.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101008200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 96th, minority 98th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 42101008200 considered part of Cobbs Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101008200 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101008200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 280 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101008200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.36% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 42101008200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 42101008200 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101008200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 42101008200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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