Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101008302 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,844 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 42101008302 covers part of the Cobbs Creek area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,844 residents. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share49.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$29,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9567, -75.2414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,173 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 391Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2016)
- 124Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 500Total filings 2020-21
- 6.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $29,571, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6. Average gross rent is $1,173, 16% below the Philadelphia average.
The filing record is not thin: 391 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 10.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101008302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101008302?
Census tract 42101008302 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101008302?
Median gross rent is $1,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101008302?
34.5% of residents in tract 42101008302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,844.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101008302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 94th, minority 97th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 42101008302 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101008302 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101008302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 391 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101008302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.35% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101008302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101008302 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101008302 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101008302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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