Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101008302 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,844 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 42101008302 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood of Philadelphia ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,844 residents. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,173 a month while the average household earns $29,571 a year, roughly 48% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share49.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$29,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9567, -75.2414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,173 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 391Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2016)
- 124Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 500Total filings 2020-21
- 6.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 391 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.6% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101008302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101008302?
Census tract 42101008302 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101008302?
Median gross rent is $1,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101008302?
34.5% of residents in tract 42101008302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,844.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101008302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 94th, minority 97th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 42101008302 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101008302 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101008302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 391 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101008302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.35% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101008302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101008302 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101008302 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101008302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southwest Schuylkill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Chopersville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Chopersville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Carroll Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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