Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47037019402 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,307 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 47037019402 covers the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), home to 4,307 residents. For landlords it grades 4.3/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,014 a month against an average household income of $106,138 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

2.6

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 45% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units2,902

Renter share74.9%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$106,138

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1857, -86.7895 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Nashville

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,014 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Nashville

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Nashville

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Nashville

3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
69%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

387Total filings 2020-21
5.0Avg monthly (observed)
3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.45×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 69% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.45x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019402?

Census tract 47037019402 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47037019402?

Median gross rent is $2,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019402?

7.0% of residents in tract 47037019402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,307.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 0th, minority 29th, housing 71th.

Is tract 47037019402 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019402 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.

How does tract 47037019402 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019402 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 47037019402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 69% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org