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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Iris Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

Tract 48039660603 · Brazoria, TX · pop 2,895 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 48039660603 sits in the Iris Shores area of Pearland eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 50% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,612
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$66,102

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Iris Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Pearland
Very High
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#3,048 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pearland and the region

Centroid at 29.5789, -95.4040 · click any tract to drill in

Why Iris Shores scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0

How Iris Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Iris Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 6606033.2Pearlandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Iris Shores

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,681 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Pearland commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

It tracks the Brazoria County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $66,102.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039660603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660603?

Census tract 48039660603 in the Iris Shores neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039660603?

Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660603?

5.9% of residents in tract 48039660603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,895.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 81th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 48039660603 considered part of Iris Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660603 fall within Iris Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48039660603 compare to Pearland overall?

Tract 48039660603 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pearland

Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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