Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland
Tract 48039660605 ·
Brazoria, TX · pop 6,612 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48039660605 in the Shadow Creek Ranch area of Pearland, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,612 residents. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Brazoria County average of 46.2%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 9%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,323
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$127,159
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Shadow Creek Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
23th percentile
#28 of 36 tracts In Pearland
Low
Within county
34th percentile
#51 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pearland and the region
Centroid at 29.5672, -95.4158 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,411 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0
How Shadow Creek Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
8%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek Ranch
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 91.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
At $2,411 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Pearland commands. Disability prevalence runs 16.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Brazoria County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039660605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660605?
Census tract 48039660605 in the Shadow Creek Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039660605?
Median gross rent is $2,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660605?
1.0% of residents in tract 48039660605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,612.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 62th, minority 94th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 48039660605 considered part of Shadow Creek Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660605 fall within Shadow Creek Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48039660605 compare to Pearland overall?
Tract 48039660605 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pearland
Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.