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Neighborhood · Pearland, TX

Shadow Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,612 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Shadow Creek Ranch maps to a single census tract in Pearland, TX and houses 6,612 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 70% against 30.4% citywide, putting Shadow Creek Ranch 39.9% over its own city.

What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 91.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. At $2,411 a month, rents sit 30% over what the rest of Pearland commands.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Pearland, it ranks #8 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Crystal Lake and Waterbury. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $127,159. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Creek Ranch vs Pearland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
70.3% +131%
Pearland: 30.4%
Average gross rent
$2,411 +30%
Pearland: $1,860
Average HH income
$127,159 +13%
Pearland: $112,470
Poverty rate
1.0% -76%
Pearland: 4.2%
Renter share
31.6% +33%
Pearland: 23.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Creek Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Shadow Creek Ranch scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
1.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Shadow Creek Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Creek Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Shadow Creek RanchNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Shadow Creek Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48039660605 3 6,612 70% $2,411
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 62%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Shadow Creek Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Creek Ranch?

Shadow Creek Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Creek Ranch compare to Pearland overall?

Shadow Creek Ranch scores 0.2 points lower than Pearland overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,411 vs $1,860.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Creek Ranch?

Average gross rent in Shadow Creek Ranch is $2,411/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Creek Ranch residents are renters?

32% of Shadow Creek Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Pearland). The neighborhood has 6,612 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Creek Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Creek Ranch sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Shadow Creek Ranch for landlords?

Shadow Creek Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pearland as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Creek Ranch?

Shadow Creek Ranch has 6,670 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Creek Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pearland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Creek Ranch.

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