Heron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

The voucher gap is 40.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Brazoria County average of 46.2%. On the high side, supply constraint reads 9/10.

It sits 0.8 points below the Brazoria County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $161,645, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.