Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Heron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland
Tract 48039660612 · Brazoria, TX · pop 3,398 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Here is how census tract 48039660612, in Heron Bay in Pearland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,398. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,764 a month while the average household earns $161,645 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,236
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$161,645
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pearland and the region
Centroid at 29.5497, -95.3997 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heron Bay scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,764 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0
How Heron Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heron Bay
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pearland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Brazoria County average of 5.0 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039660612
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660612?
Census tract 48039660612 in the Heron Bay neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039660612?
Median gross rent is $1,764/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660612?
1.5% of residents in tract 48039660612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,398.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660612?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 12th, minority 75th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 48039660612 considered part of Heron Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660612 fall within Heron Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48039660612 compare to Pearland overall?
Tract 48039660612 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Pearland at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pearland
Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
The Strand
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039660608
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48201330802
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Iris Shores
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Creekside
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Cypress Village
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48039660503
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Cypress Village
2.2
/ 10 · Low
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