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Neighborhood · Pearland, TX

Heron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,398 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.1/10 · range 1.1–1.1

Heron Bay is a asian-white neighborhood in Pearland with 1 census tract and a population of 3,398 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,764/month sits 5% lower than the Pearland citywide average ($1,860).

Risk score
1.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heron Bay vs Pearland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.6% +14%
Pearland: 30.4%
Average gross rent
$1,764 -5%
Pearland: $1,860
Average HH income
$161,645 +44%
Pearland: $112,470
Poverty rate
1.5% -65%
Pearland: 4.2%
Renter share
8.4% -65%
Pearland: 23.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heron Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.1–1.1

Why Heron Bay scores 1.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
1.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Risk score comparison

Heron Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heron Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Heron Bay: 1.11.1Heron BayNeighborhoodParent city: 2.22.2Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heron Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48039660612 1.1 3,398 35% $1,764
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Heron Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heron Bay?

Heron Bay scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heron Bay compare to Pearland overall?

Heron Bay scores 1.1 points lower than Pearland overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,764 vs $1,860.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heron Bay?

Average gross rent in Heron Bay is $1,764/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heron Bay residents are renters?

8% of Heron Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Pearland). The neighborhood has 3,398 residents.
Q5

Is Heron Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Heron Bay sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heron Bay for landlords?

Heron Bay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pearland as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heron Bay?

Heron Bay has 4,115 residents (Asian-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (39.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heron Bay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pearland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heron Bay.

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