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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Provence Eviction Risk: Lower , Corinth

Tract 48121021418 · Denton, TX · pop 4,670 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 48121021418 covers part of the Provence area of Corinth, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,670 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 12% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share11.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$155,079

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Provence
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Corinth
Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#161 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Corinth and the region

Centroid at 33.1578, -97.0801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Provence scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Corinth
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,383 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Corinth
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Corinth
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Corinth
5.3

How Provence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Provence risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 021418Corinth: 3.53.5Corinthparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 25Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.28×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Provence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Provence

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 26.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,383, 26% above the Corinth average. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $155,079.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021418

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021418?

Census tract 48121021418 in the Provence neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021418?

Median gross rent is $2,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021418?

0.7% of residents in tract 48121021418 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,670.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021418?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 37th, minority 45th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 48121021418 considered part of Provence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021418 fall within Provence (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021418 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121021418 compare to Corinth overall?

Tract 48121021418 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Corinth at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Corinth; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Corinth

Top eight tracts in Corinth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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