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Neighborhood · Corinth, TX

Provence Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Provence takes in 2 census tracts of Corinth, TX, population 7,071. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. 20% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly below the Corinth rate of 33.2%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,574, 17% below the Corinth average of $1,891.

At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Millenium Place and Terrace Oaks Phase 1 score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Provence vs Corinth How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
20.2% -39%
Corinth: 33.2%
Average gross rent
$1,574 -17%
Corinth: $1,891
Average HH income
$150,473 +27%
Corinth: $118,949
Poverty rate
3.0% -23%
Corinth: 3.9%
Renter share
10.2% -56%
Corinth: 23.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Provence scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.6 across tracts
6.7
Risk score comparison

Provence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Provence score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0ProvenceNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Provence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48121021418 3 4,670 0% $2,383
48121021417 3 2,401 59% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Provence

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 32Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth, TX).

Frequently asked

About Provence

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Provence?

Provence scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Provence compare to Corinth overall?

Provence scores 0.5 points lower than Corinth overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,574 vs $1,891.
Q3

What is the average rent in Provence?

Average gross rent in Provence is $1,574/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Provence residents are renters?

10% of Provence households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Corinth). The neighborhood has 7,071 residents.
Q5

Is Provence a high social-vulnerability area?

Provence sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Provence have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provence is census tract 48121021418 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Provence for landlords?

Provence carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Corinth as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Provence?

Provence has 7,254 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provence

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Corinth

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provence.

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