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Neighborhood · Corinth, TX

Provence Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Provence takes in 2 census tracts of Corinth, TX, population 7,071. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. 20% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly below the Corinth rate of 33.2%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,574, 17% below the Corinth average of $1,891.

At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Millenium Place and Terrace Oaks Phase 1 score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Provence vs Corinth How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
20.2% -39%
Corinth: 33.2%
Average gross rent
$1,574 -17%
Corinth: $1,891
Average HH income
$150,473 +27%
Corinth: $118,949
Poverty rate
3.0% -23%
Corinth: 3.9%
Renter share
10.2% -56%
Corinth: 23.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Provence scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.6 across tracts
6.7
Risk score comparison

Provence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Provence score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Provence: 3.03.0ProvenceNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Provence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48121021418 3 4,670 0% $2,383
48121021417 3 2,401 59%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Provence

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 32Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth, TX).

Frequently asked

About Provence

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Provence?

Provence scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Provence compare to Corinth overall?

Provence scores 0.5 points lower than Corinth overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,574 vs $1,891.
Q3

What is the average rent in Provence?

Average gross rent in Provence is $1,574/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Provence residents are renters?

10% of Provence households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Corinth). The neighborhood has 7,071 residents.
Q5

Is Provence a high social-vulnerability area?

Provence sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Provence have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provence is census tract 48121021418 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Provence for landlords?

Provence carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Corinth as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Provence?

Provence has 7,254 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provence

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Corinth

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provence.

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