Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Provence Eviction Risk: Lower , Corinth
Tract 48121021417 · Denton, TX · pop 2,401 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021417 in the Provence area of Corinth, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,401 residents. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units841
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$141,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Corinth and the region
Centroid at 33.1512, -97.0886 · click any tract to drill in
Why Provence scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Corinth
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Corinth
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Corinth
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Corinth
5.3
How Provence compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 7Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.93×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Provence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Provence
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Denton County average of 45.5%. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021417?
Census tract 48121021417 in the Provence neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021417?
7.4% of residents in tract 48121021417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,401.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 8th, minority 44th, housing 5th.
Q4
Is tract 48121021417 considered part of Provence?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021417 fall within Provence (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021417 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021417 compare to Corinth overall?
Tract 48121021417 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Corinth at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Corinth; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Corinth
Top eight tracts in Corinth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related