Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Legend Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate , The Colony
Tract 48121021520 · Denton, TX · pop 3,987 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
48121021520 is a census tract in the Legend Crest area of The Colony, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Denton County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$106,136
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across The Colony and the region
Centroid at 33.0907, -96.8812 · click any tract to drill in
Why Legend Crest scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from The Colony
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,124 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Colony
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Colony
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Colony
4.1
How Legend Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 213Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2006)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 91% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Legend Crest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Legend Crest
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 213 filings here across 13 tracked years. The voucher gap is 12.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 14.8% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $2,124, 8% above the The Colony average.
In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021520
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021520?
Census tract 48121021520 in the Legend Crest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021520?
Median gross rent is $2,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021520?
10.1% of residents in tract 48121021520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,987.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021520?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 77th, minority 69th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021520 considered part of Legend Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021520 fall within Legend Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021520?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 213 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021520 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.83% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021520 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021520 compare to The Colony overall?
Tract 48121021520 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of The Colony at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Colony; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in The Colony
Top eight tracts in The Colony ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Eastvale
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Kensington Place
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
The W's
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
The W's
3
/ 10 · Low
Related