Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021649 · Denton, TX · pop 3,810
The Lower-tier score of 3.6/10 for census tract 48121021649 reflects conditions in Carrollton, Texas. It lands near the 6th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 18% of renter households, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,454 a month against an average household income of $115,859 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,237
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$115,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0123, -96.9362 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollton scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Carrollton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 503Total filings 2020-21
- 6.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollton
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Denton County average of 5.0 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.24x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021649
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021649?
Census tract 48121021649 in Carrollton scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021649?
Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021649?
2.2% of residents in tract 48121021649 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021649?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 94th, minority 78th, housing 35th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021649 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021649 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021649 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollton at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48113013717
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Addison Circle
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48113013718
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48113013722
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48113013729
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021613
2.5
/ 10 · Low
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