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Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

San Marcos Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48209010302 · Hays, TX · pop 5,121 · 94% of tract blocks fall in San Marcos

Census tract 48209010302 covers part of San Marcos, TX, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 18% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,748
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$41,111

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 46 tracts In Hays
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8672, -97.9012 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Marcos scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,240 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How San Marcos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Marcos risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0103025.9San Marcosparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Marcos

Against Hays County at 50.2%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.8/10. Against the Hays County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Set annual rent against average income of $41,111 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Adults with no health insurance runs 25.6% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010302?

Census tract 48209010302 in San Marcos scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010302?

Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010302?

39.3% of residents in tract 48209010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 86th, minority 79th, housing 95th.
Q5

How does tract 48209010302 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010302 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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