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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Fairlawn Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 48209010309 · Hays, TX · pop 4,331 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48209010309 (the Fairlawn area of San Marcos, Texas) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,156 a month against an average household income of $43,564 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 91% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 52% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,958
Renter share90.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate30.9%
Median income$43,564

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fairlawn
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 46 tracts In Hays
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#652 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.9212, -97.8999 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairlawn scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.9% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,156 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How Fairlawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairlawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 010309San Marcos: 2.62.6San Marcosparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairlawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairlawn

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hays County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010309

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010309?

Census tract 48209010309 in the Fairlawn neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010309?

Median gross rent is $1,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010309?

30.9% of residents in tract 48209010309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,331.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 20th, minority 76th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 48209010309 considered part of Fairlawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010309 fall within Fairlawn (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48209010309 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010309 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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