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Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48215022005 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,224

Tract 48215022005 sits in San Juan, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. Population here is 4,224. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 16% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,303
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$50,953

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In San Juan
High
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#83 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2,275 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan and the region

Centroid at 26.1839, -98.1594 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$810 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan
8.2

How San Juan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0220053.5San Juanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan

Adults with no health insurance runs 42.5% against 11.3% nationally. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $810, 16% below the San Juan average. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215022005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215022005?

Census tract 48215022005 in San Juan scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215022005?

Median gross rent is $810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215022005?

35.5% of residents in tract 48215022005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,224.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215022005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 46th.
Q5

How does tract 48215022005 compare to San Juan overall?

Tract 48215022005 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Juan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan

Top eight tracts in San Juan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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