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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Serenada Eviction Risk: Lower , Georgetown

Tract 48491020115 · Williamson, TX · pop 6,286 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 48491020115 in the Serenada area of Georgetown, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,286. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 10% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,340
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$129,149

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Serenada
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 25 tracts In Georgetown
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#93 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#4,317 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Georgetown and the region

Centroid at 30.7015, -97.7020 · click any tract to drill in

Why Serenada scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Georgetown
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,257 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Georgetown
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Georgetown
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Georgetown
5.9

How Serenada compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Serenada risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0201154.0Georgetownparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Serenada

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

At $2,257 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Georgetown commands. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Williamson County average of 43.5%. The voucher gap is 15.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Williamson County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $129,149.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48491020115

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020115?

Census tract 48491020115 in the Serenada neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48491020115?

Median gross rent is $2,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020115?

3.6% of residents in tract 48491020115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,286.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 51th, minority 35th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 48491020115 considered part of Serenada?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020115 fall within Serenada (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48491020115 compare to Georgetown overall?

Tract 48491020115 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Georgetown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Georgetown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Georgetown

Top eight tracts in Georgetown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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