Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Little Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , St. George
Tract 49053271703 · Washington, UT · pop 6,240 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 49053271703 sits in the Little Valley area of St. George, UT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The voucher gap is 37.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,364
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$116,696
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. George and the region
Centroid at 37.0763, -113.5335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Valley scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. George
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,043 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. George
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. George
2.0
How Little Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Valley
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $2,043, 32% above the St. George average. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.8/10.
41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Washington County average of 49.4%. SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Washington County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 49053271703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49053271703?
Census tract 49053271703 in the Little Valley neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49053271703?
Median gross rent is $2,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49053271703?
6.1% of residents in tract 49053271703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,240.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49053271703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 23th, minority 25th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 49053271703 considered part of Little Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49053271703 fall within Little Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 49053271703 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 49053271703 compare to St. George overall?
Tract 49053271703 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of St. George at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. George eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. George
Top eight tracts in St. George ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Avalon
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
49053270301
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Royal Oaks
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Foothill Terrace
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Rebel Creek Ridge
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · UT
Olive Grove
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related