Crescent Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 51% above the Arlington average.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 0.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.