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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Crescent Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,987 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Crescent Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 6,987. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 26.5% citywide, putting Crescent Hills 33.5% over its own city.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 51% above the Arlington average of $2,322. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

SNAP participation is 3.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 1 eviction filings. 3.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 0.7% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #37 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crescent Hills vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.0% +126%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +51%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$243,109 +73%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
2.3% -68%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
8.1% -86%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crescent Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Crescent Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Crescent Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crescent Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Crescent Hills: 5.25.2Crescent HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crescent Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013100200 5.2 6,987 60% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 28%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crescent Hills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 0.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.67%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crescent Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crescent Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crescent Hills?

Crescent Hills scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crescent Hills compare to Arlington overall?

Crescent Hills scores 0.8 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crescent Hills?

Average gross rent in Crescent Hills is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crescent Hills residents are renters?

8% of Crescent Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 6,987 residents.
Q5

Is Crescent Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Crescent Hills sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crescent Hills for landlords?

Crescent Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crescent Hills?

Crescent Hills has 6,960 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.6%), Hispanic / Latino (5.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crescent Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crescent Hills.

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