Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Larchmont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013100900 · Arlington County, VA · pop 4,627 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51013100900 covers part of the Larchmont area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,627 residents. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$157,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8867, -77.1323 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larchmont scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,476 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Larchmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2016)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larchmont
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Arlington County average of 38.9%. Average gross rent is $1,476, 36% below the Arlington average.
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 1 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Against average income of $157,250, annual rent is just 11%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013100900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013100900?
Census tract 51013100900 in the Larchmont neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013100900?
Median gross rent is $1,476/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013100900?
4.4% of residents in tract 51013100900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013100900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 39th, minority 51th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 51013100900 considered part of Larchmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013100900 fall within Larchmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013100900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013100900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013100900 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013100900 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013100900 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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