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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Larchmont Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,627 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Larchmont is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 4,627. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 50%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 63% against 26.5% citywide, putting Larchmont 36.6% over its own city. Average gross rent is $1,476, 36% below the Arlington average of $2,322.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

Court records for this tract carry 20 eviction filings. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.8% of adults, 11.0 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.7% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

That places it #26 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington. Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Larchmont vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.1% +138%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,476 -36%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$157,250 +12%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
4.4% -38%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
38.3% -35%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Larchmont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Larchmont scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Larchmont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Larchmont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4LarchmontNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Larchmont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51013100900 5.4 4,627 63% $1,476
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Larchmont

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.66%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Larchmont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Larchmont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Larchmont?

Larchmont scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Larchmont compare to Arlington overall?

Larchmont scores 0.6 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,476 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Larchmont?

Average gross rent in Larchmont is $1,476/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Larchmont residents are renters?

38% of Larchmont households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 4,627 residents.
Q5

Is Larchmont a high social-vulnerability area?

Larchmont sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Larchmont for landlords?

Larchmont carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Larchmont?

Larchmont has 4,209 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Hispanic / Latino (20.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Larchmont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Larchmont.

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