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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Larchmont Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,627 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Larchmont is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 4,627. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 50%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 63% against 26.5% citywide, putting Larchmont 36.6% over its own city. Average gross rent is $1,476, 36% below the Arlington average of $2,322.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

Court records for this tract carry 20 eviction filings. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.8% of adults, 11.0 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.7% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

That places it #26 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington. Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Larchmont vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.1% +138%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,476 -36%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$157,250 +12%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
4.4% -38%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
38.3% -35%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Larchmont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Larchmont scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Larchmont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Larchmont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Larchmont: 5.45.4LarchmontNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Larchmont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013100900 5.4 4,627 63% $1,476
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Larchmont

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.66%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Larchmont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Larchmont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Larchmont?

Larchmont scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Larchmont compare to Arlington overall?

Larchmont scores 0.6 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,476 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Larchmont?

Average gross rent in Larchmont is $1,476/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Larchmont residents are renters?

38% of Larchmont households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 4,627 residents.
Q5

Is Larchmont a high social-vulnerability area?

Larchmont sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Larchmont for landlords?

Larchmont carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Larchmont?

Larchmont has 4,209 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Hispanic / Latino (20.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Larchmont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Larchmont.

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