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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101000 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,382 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51013101000 is a census tract in the Highland Park area of Arlington, VA. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,382. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,417
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$168,140

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Highland Park
Very High
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very Low
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#370 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8882, -77.1412 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Park scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,709 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Highland Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 101000Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Park

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,709, 26% below the Arlington average. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 1 tracked years. Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101000?

Census tract 51013101000 in the Highland Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101000?

Median gross rent is $1,709/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101000?

3.3% of residents in tract 51013101000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,382.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 50th, minority 33th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101000 considered part of Highland Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101000 fall within Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.45% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101000 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101000 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101000 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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