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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101100 · Arlington County, VA · pop 6,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 51013101100 in the Highland Park area of Arlington, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,255 residents. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,382
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$186,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Highland Park
Very Low
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#69 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very Low
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#421 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8853, -77.1526 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Highland Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 101100Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Park

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Arlington commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.0% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 1 years of observation. Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101100?

Census tract 51013101100 in the Highland Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101100?

2.1% of residents in tract 51013101100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,255.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 35th, minority 46th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101100 considered part of Highland Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101100 fall within Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.36% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101100 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101100 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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