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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

North Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013101602 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,758 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51013101602 sits in the North Highland area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Population here is 1,758. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 49% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,026
Renter share63.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$108,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In North Highland
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8940, -77.0838 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Highland scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,853 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How North Highland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Highland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 101602Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2016)
  • 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Highland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Highland

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,853 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 22 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101602?

Census tract 51013101602 in the North Highland neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101602?

Median gross rent is $1,853/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101602?

19.7% of residents in tract 51013101602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 5th, minority 57th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101602 considered part of North Highland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101602 fall within North Highland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.29% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101602 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101602 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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