Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Buckingham Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013102001 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51013102001 is a census tract in the Buckingham area of Arlington, VA. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,582
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$128,654
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8754, -77.1106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buckingham scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,050 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Buckingham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.0%Peak (2016)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buckingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buckingham
Cost burden runs 50% here against 38.9% across Arlington County. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 1 tracked years.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,050 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Arlington commands.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013102001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102001?
Census tract 51013102001 in the Buckingham neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013102001?
Median gross rent is $2,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102001?
14.2% of residents in tract 51013102001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 36th, minority 70th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 51013102001 considered part of Buckingham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013102001 fall within Buckingham (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013102001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013102001 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013102001 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013102001 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related