2 census tracts · pop 8,323 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10
· range 6.5–7.4
Buckingham is a 2-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 8,323. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 26.5% citywide, putting Buckingham 27.6% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Average gross rent is $1,864, 20% below the Arlington average of $2,322. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filings are well documented here: 119 across 2 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households. That places it #3 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.
Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Virginia Highlands and Arlington View score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Buckingham vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Buckingham
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
119Total filings (sum)
3.27%Avg annual filing rate
5.2%Peak year (2016)
3.27%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Buckingham
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.9%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
11.2%No health insurance
25.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Buckingham
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Buckingham?
Buckingham scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Buckingham compare to Arlington overall?
Buckingham scores 1.0 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,864 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Buckingham?
Average gross rent in Buckingham is $1,864/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Buckingham residents are renters?
71% of Buckingham households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 8,323 residents.
Q5
Is Buckingham a high social-vulnerability area?
Buckingham sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Buckingham have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Buckingham is census tract 51013102003 (score 7.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.4, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Buckingham for landlords?
Buckingham carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Buckingham?
Buckingham has 8,367 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.6%), Hispanic / Latino (29.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
