Columbia Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,813, 22% below the Arlington average. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.