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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Columbia Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,927 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

Columbia Forest maps to a single census tract in Arlington, VA and houses 2,927 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Arlington rate of 26.5%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,813 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. SNAP participation is 7.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #8 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $98,125.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Columbia Forest vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.9% +107%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,813 -22%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$98,125 -30%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
2.3% -68%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
22.7% -61%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbia Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why Columbia Forest scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Columbia Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Columbia Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Columbia Forest: 6.26.2Columbia ForestNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Columbia Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013102803 6.2 2,927 55% $1,813
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Columbia Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Columbia Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Columbia Forest?

Columbia Forest scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Columbia Forest compare to Arlington overall?

Columbia Forest scores 0.2 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,813 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Columbia Forest?

Average gross rent in Columbia Forest is $1,813/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Columbia Forest residents are renters?

23% of Columbia Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,927 residents.
Q5

Is Columbia Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Columbia Forest sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Columbia Forest for landlords?

Columbia Forest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Columbia Forest?

Columbia Forest has 2,944 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.8%), Hispanic / Latino (32%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Columbia Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Columbia Forest.

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