Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
North Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013102901 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,883 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 51013102901 sits in the North Fairlington area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$149,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8391, -77.0993 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Fairlington scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,268 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How North Fairlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Fairlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 17.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Fairlington
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.1% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Arlington County average of 38.9%. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 2 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 0.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013102901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102901?
Census tract 51013102901 in the North Fairlington neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013102901?
Median gross rent is $2,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102901?
3.8% of residents in tract 51013102901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,883.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 3th, minority 37th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 51013102901 considered part of North Fairlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013102901 fall within North Fairlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013102901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.36% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013102901 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013102901 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013102901 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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