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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

North Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,454 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

North Fairlington takes in 2 census tracts of Arlington, VA, population 4,454. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. SNAP participation is 3.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 2 eviction filings. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Cost burden runs 31% against 26.5% citywide, putting North Fairlington 4.0% over its own city.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 0.4% of renter households. 4.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #26 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 0.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Highview Park and Larchmont. Against average income of $148,752, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
North Fairlington vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.5% +15%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,300 -1%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$148,752 +6%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
3.4% -52%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
28.8% -51%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Fairlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why North Fairlington scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
3.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–5.2 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

North Fairlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Fairlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North Fairlington: 5.45.4North FairlingtonNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in North Fairlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013102901 5.4 2,883 32% $2,268
51013102903 5.4 1,571 28% $2,360
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 2

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North Fairlington

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings (sum)
  • 0.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.36%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Fairlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Fairlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Fairlington?

North Fairlington scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Fairlington compare to Arlington overall?

North Fairlington scores 0.6 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,300 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Fairlington?

Average gross rent in North Fairlington is $2,300/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Fairlington residents are renters?

29% of North Fairlington households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 4,454 residents.
Q5

Is North Fairlington a high social-vulnerability area?

North Fairlington sits in the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Fairlington have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Fairlington is census tract 51013102901 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is North Fairlington for landlords?

North Fairlington carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Fairlington?

North Fairlington has 4,136 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.2%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Fairlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Fairlington.

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