South Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013103000 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,569 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51013103000 covers part of the South Fairlington area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,569. Cost burden runs 20% here against 38.9% across Arlington County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8337, -77.0894 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Fairlington scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow South Fairlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.2%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.2%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 17.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in South Fairlington
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The voucher gap is 18.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,749, 18% above the Arlington average.
The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2016, when 0.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51013103000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103000?
What is the average rent in tract 51013103000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103000?
Is tract 51013103000 considered part of South Fairlington?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103000?
What share of households in tract 51013103000 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013103000 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.