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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

South Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,569 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

South Fairlington is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 3,569 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Arlington baseline of 26.5%, about one in five of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The voucher gap is 18.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity affects 4.2% of adults, 13.6 points below the national rate.

Average gross rent is $2,749, 18% above the Arlington average of $2,322. Disability prevalence reaches 17.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 0.2% of renter households. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #31 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 0.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Boulevard Manor and Donaldson Run score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 5.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Fairlington vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
20.2% -24%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,749 +18%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$182,431 +30%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
0.7% -90%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
26.7% -55%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Fairlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why South Fairlington scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
0.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Risk score comparison

South Fairlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Fairlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Fairlington: 5.35.3South FairlingtonNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Fairlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013103000 5.3 3,569 20% $2,749
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 2

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 0%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Fairlington

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 0.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.22%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Fairlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Fairlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Fairlington?

South Fairlington scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Fairlington compare to Arlington overall?

South Fairlington scores 0.7 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,749 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Fairlington?

Average gross rent in South Fairlington is $2,749/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Fairlington residents are renters?

27% of South Fairlington households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 3,569 residents.
Q5

Is South Fairlington a high social-vulnerability area?

South Fairlington sits in the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Fairlington for landlords?

South Fairlington carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Fairlington?

South Fairlington has 3,592 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Fairlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Fairlington.

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