Long Branch Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013103800 · Arlington County, VA · pop 4,850 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 51013103800 in the Long Branch Creek area of Arlington, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,850 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8464, -77.0720 · click any tract to drill in
Why Long Branch Creek scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Long Branch Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 82Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Long Branch Creek
This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Court records carry 82 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51013103800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103800?
What is the average rent in tract 51013103800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103800?
Is tract 51013103800 considered part of Long Branch Creek?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103800?
What share of households in tract 51013103800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013103800 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.