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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Long Branch Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,850 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Long Branch Creek maps to a single census tract in Arlington, VA, population 4,850. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Arlington rate of 26.5%.

This is a renter market: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records for this tract carry 82 eviction filings.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 4.5% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. That places it #16 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Addison Heights and National Landing.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,306, close to the Arlington average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $119,324.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Long Branch Creek vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.2% +55%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,306 -1%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$119,324 -15%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
6.1% -14%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
76.5% +30%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Long Branch Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Long Branch Creek scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
77% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Long Branch Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Long Branch Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Long Branch Creek: 5.95.9Long Branch CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Long Branch Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013103800 5.9 4,850 41% $2,306
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Long Branch Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings (sum)
  • 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Long Branch Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Long Branch Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Long Branch Creek?

Long Branch Creek scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Long Branch Creek compare to Arlington overall?

Long Branch Creek scores 0.1 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,306 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Long Branch Creek?

Average gross rent in Long Branch Creek is $2,306/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Long Branch Creek residents are renters?

77% of Long Branch Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 4,850 residents.
Q5

Is Long Branch Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Long Branch Creek sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Long Branch Creek for landlords?

Long Branch Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Long Branch Creek?

Long Branch Creek has 4,786 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Long Branch Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Long Branch Creek.

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