Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Greenfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Bon Air
Tract 51041100920 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 1,586 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
How risky is the Greenfield neighborhood of Bon Air for landlords? Census tract 51041100920 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #19,743 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,587 a month while the average household earns $70,750 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units768
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$70,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bon Air and the region
Centroid at 37.5124, -77.6024 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenfield scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bon Air
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,587 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bon Air
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bon Air
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bon Air
4.5
How Greenfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 497Total filings over 7 yrs
- 19.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.5%Peak (2016)
- 125Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 594% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenfield
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bon Air, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 497 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 19.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.5% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100920
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100920?
Census tract 51041100920 in the Greenfield neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100920?
Median gross rent is $1,587/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100920?
5.1% of residents in tract 51041100920 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100920?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 41th, minority 65th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100920 considered part of Greenfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100920 fall within Greenfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100920?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 497 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100920 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.92% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100920 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100920 compare to Bon Air overall?
Tract 51041100920 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bon Air at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bon Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air
Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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