Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Foundry Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Bon Air
Tract 51041100926 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,768 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51041100926 runs through the Foundry Run area of Bon Air. With 6,768 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.
72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,686 monthly, set against $211,851 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,447
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$211,851
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bon Air and the region
Centroid at 37.5390, -77.6259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Foundry Run scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bon Air
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,686 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bon Air
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bon Air
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bon Air
4.5
How Foundry Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 230Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2015)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Foundry Run
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bon Air, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 230 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.1% of renter households in 2015.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100926
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100926?
Census tract 51041100926 in the Foundry Run neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100926?
Median gross rent is $1,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100926?
5.4% of residents in tract 51041100926 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,768.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100926?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 42th, minority 31th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100926 considered part of Foundry Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100926 fall within Foundry Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100926?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 230 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100926 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.73% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100926 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100926 compare to Bon Air overall?
Tract 51041100926 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bon Air at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bon Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air
Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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