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Neighborhood · Bon Air, VA

Foundry Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,768 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Foundry Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Bon Air, VA and houses 6,768 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs about three-quarters against 28.1% citywide, putting Foundry Run 44.0% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. SNAP participation is 3.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 230 eviction filings. 3.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 16.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 6.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $1,686 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Bon Air commands.

That places it #5 of 6 neighborhoods in Bon Air. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Sheffield Court and Spring Grove score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 10% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Foundry Run vs Bon Air How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
72.1% +157%
Bon Air: 28.1%
Average gross rent
$1,686 -6%
Bon Air: $1,799
Average HH income
$211,851 +117%
Bon Air: $97,620
Poverty rate
5.4% -13%
Bon Air: 6.2%
Renter share
15.5% -43%
Bon Air: 27.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Foundry Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Foundry Run scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Foundry Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Foundry Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Foundry RunNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Foundry Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100926 3 6,768 72% $1,686
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 42%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Foundry Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 230Total filings (sum)
  • 10.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 6.58%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Foundry Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Foundry Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Foundry Run?

Foundry Run scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Foundry Run compare to Bon Air overall?

Foundry Run scores 1.0 points lower than Bon Air overall (4/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,686 vs $1,799.
Q3

What is the average rent in Foundry Run?

Average gross rent in Foundry Run is $1,686/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Foundry Run residents are renters?

16% of Foundry Run households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Bon Air). The neighborhood has 6,768 residents.
Q5

Is Foundry Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Foundry Run sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Foundry Run for landlords?

Foundry Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bon Air as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Foundry Run?

Foundry Run has 6,684 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Foundry Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bon Air

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Foundry Run.

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