Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Fairfax Park Eviction Risk: Lower , West Springfield
Tract 51059430901 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,724 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51059430901 covers part of the Fairfax Park area of West Springfield, VA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,724 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,365
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$143,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.7837, -77.2447 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairfax Park scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Springfield
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,328 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Springfield
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Springfield
4.5
How Fairfax Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 122Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2016)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fairfax Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairfax Park
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Court records carry 122 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 10.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,328, close to the West Springfield average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $143,318. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059430901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430901?
Census tract 51059430901 in the Fairfax Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059430901?
Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430901?
6.2% of residents in tract 51059430901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,724.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 71th, minority 78th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51059430901 considered part of Fairfax Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059430901 fall within Fairfax Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059430901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.32% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059430901 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059430901 compare to West Springfield overall?
Tract 51059430901 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of West Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Springfield
Top eight tracts in West Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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