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Neighborhood · West Springfield, VA

Fairfax Park Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 13,816 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.4–3.7

Fairfax Park is a 3-tract neighborhood of West Springfield, VA and houses 13,816 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 22.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. around a third of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the West Springfield rate of 28.2%.

On the high side is supply constraint at 7.3/10. Court records carry 156 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $2,840, 16% above the West Springfield average of $2,455.

SNAP participation is 5.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.7% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate.

Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

With little internal variation, 3.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Fairfax Park vs West Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.9% +24%
West Springfield: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,840 +16%
West Springfield: $2,455
Average HH income
$162,721 +3%
West Springfield: $157,800
Poverty rate
4.9% +34%
West Springfield: 3.7%
Renter share
18.9% +25%
West Springfield: 15.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairfax Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–3.7

Why Fairfax Park scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 4.9–6.4 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–3.5 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 2.9–4.0 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.6–4.5 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–9.5 across tracts
7.3
Risk score comparison

Fairfax Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairfax Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fairfax Park: 3.63.6Fairfax ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fairfax Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 3.4 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Fairfax Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059430901 3.7 4,724 43% $2,328
51059431400 3.7 4,356 18% $2,841
51059431300 3.4 4,736 43% $3,349
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fairfax Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 156Total filings (sum)
  • 3.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.41%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairfax Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairfax Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairfax Park?

Fairfax Park scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairfax Park compare to West Springfield overall?

Fairfax Park scores 0.4 points lower than West Springfield overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,840 vs $2,455.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairfax Park?

Average gross rent in Fairfax eviction risk Park is $2,840/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairfax Park residents are renters?

19% of Fairfax Park households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in West Springfield). The neighborhood has 13,816 residents.
Q5

Is Fairfax Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairfax Park sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fairfax Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fairfax Park is census tract 51059430901 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.7, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Fairfax Park for landlords?

Fairfax eviction risk Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to West Springfield as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairfax Park?

Fairfax Park has 13,314 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.9%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairfax Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside West Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairfax Park.

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