Townes of Burke Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059431802 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,297 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51059431802 covers the Townes of Burke area of Burke, home to 3,297 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,360 a month against an average household income of $181,458 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Burke and the region
Centroid at 38.8080, -77.2755 · click any tract to drill in
Why Townes of Burke scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Townes of Burke compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Townes of Burke. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Townes of Burke
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059431802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059431802?
What is the average rent in tract 51059431802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059431802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059431802?
Is tract 51059431802 considered part of Townes of Burke?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059431802?
What share of households in tract 51059431802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059431802 compare to Burke overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Burke
Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.